Exploring Scenarios to Dramatically Reduce Smoking Prevalence
Friday, May 21, 2010
Exploring Scenarios to Dramatically Reduce Smoking Prevalence: A Simulation Model of the Three-Part Cessation Process
Levy DT, Mabry PL, Graham Al, Orleans T, Abrams DB. . American Journal of Public Health, published online ahead of print May 13, 2010.
This study used a simulation model to explore whether the Healthy People 2010 goal of reducing smoking prevalence to 12% by 2010 could be accomplished by increasing quit attempts, increasing the use of treatments, or increasing the effectiveness of treatment. Individually, 100% increases from current levels of each of the three strategies reduced the projected 2020 prevalence to 13.9%, 16.7%, and 15.9% respectively. With a combined 100% increase in all three components, 12% prevalence would be reached by 2012.
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